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      • July 16, 2016
      • Article

      A Game Theoretic Model for Resource Allocation Among Countermeasures with Multiple Attributes

      By: Elisabeth C. Paulson, Igor Linkov and Jeffrey Keisler
      We study a strategic, two-player, sequential game between an attacker and defender. The defender must allocate resources amongst possible countermeasures and across possible targets. The attacker then chooses a type of threat and a target to attack. This paper proposes... View Details
      Keywords: Resource Allocation; Game Theory; Strategy
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      Paulson, Elisabeth C., Igor Linkov, and Jeffrey Keisler. "A Game Theoretic Model for Resource Allocation Among Countermeasures with Multiple Attributes." European Journal of Operational Research 252, no. 2 (July 16, 2016): 610–622.
      • June 2016
      • Article

      Vaccination Rates Are Associated with Functional Proximity but Not Base Proximity of Vaccination Clinics

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Gwendolyn I. Reynolds
      Background: Routine annual influenza vaccinations are recommended for persons 6 months of age and older, but less than half of U.S. adults get vaccinated. Many employers offer employees free influenza vaccinations at workplace clinics, but even then take-up is... View Details
      Keywords: Geographic Location; Employees; Health Care and Treatment
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Gwendolyn I. Reynolds. "Vaccination Rates Are Associated with Functional Proximity but Not Base Proximity of Vaccination Clinics." Medical Care 54, no. 6 (June 2016): 578–583.
      • Article

      Landing the First Job: The Value of Intermediaries in Online Hiring

      By: Christopher Stanton and Catherine Thomas
      Online markets for remote labor services allow workers and firms to contract with each other directly. Despite this, intermediaries—called outsourcing agencies—have emerged in these markets. This paper shows that agencies signal to employers that inexperienced workers... View Details
      Keywords: Marketplace Matching; Agency Theory
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      Stanton, Christopher, and Catherine Thomas. "Landing the First Job: The Value of Intermediaries in Online Hiring." Review of Economic Studies 83, no. 2 (April 2016): 810–854.
      • Article

      Optimal Taxation When Children's Abilities Depend on Parents' Resources

      By: Alexander Gelber and Matthew Weinzierl
      Empirical research suggests that parents' economic resources affect their children's future earnings abilities. Optimal tax policy therefore treats future ability distributions as endogenous to current taxes. We model this endogeneity, calibrate the model to match... View Details
      Keywords: Taxation; Family and Family Relationships; Welfare
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      Gelber, Alexander, and Matthew Weinzierl. "Optimal Taxation When Children's Abilities Depend on Parents' Resources." National Tax Journal 69, no. 1 (March 2016): 11–40. (Winner, Richard A. Musgrave prize for best paper published in the NTJ. Also HBS Working Paper 13-014 and NBER Working Paper 18332.)
      • March 2016
      • Article

      The Cost of Friendship

      By: Paul A. Gompers, Vladimir Mukharlyamov and Yuhai Xuan
      We investigate how personal characteristics affect people's desire to collaborate and whether this attraction enhances or detracts from performance in venture capital. We find that venture capitalists who share the same ethnic, educational, or career background are... View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Partners and Partnerships; Entrepreneurship; Personal Characteristics
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      Gompers, Paul A., Vladimir Mukharlyamov, and Yuhai Xuan. "The Cost of Friendship." Journal of Financial Economics 119, no. 3 (March 2016): 626–644.
      • February 2016
      • Article

      After The Break-Up: The Relational and Reputational Consequences of Withdrawals from Venture Capital Syndicates

      By: Pavel Zhelyazkov and Ranjay Gulati
      Traditional research has long treated reputation as an egocentric attribute, typically described as an intangible asset directly shaped by the focal actor's track record. We argue, however, that reputation is dyadic: that an actor can have different reputations with... View Details
      Keywords: Network Formation; Network Search; Venture Capital; Syndication; Networks
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      Zhelyazkov, Pavel, and Ranjay Gulati. "After The Break-Up: The Relational and Reputational Consequences of Withdrawals from Venture Capital Syndicates." Academy of Management Journal 59, no. 1 (February 2016): 277–301.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Paying (for) Attention: The Impact of Information Processing Costs on Bayesian Inference

      By: Scott Duke Kominers, Xiaosheng Mu and Alexander Peysakhovich
      Human information processing is often modeled as costless Bayesian inference. However, research in psychology shows that attention is a computationally costly and potentially limited resource. We study a Bayesian individual for whom computing posterior beliefs is... View Details
      Keywords: Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Economics
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      Kominers, Scott Duke, Xiaosheng Mu, and Alexander Peysakhovich. "Paying (for) Attention: The Impact of Information Processing Costs on Bayesian Inference." Working Paper, February 2016.
      • 2016
      • Article

      Penalized Fast Subset Scanning

      By: Skyler Speakman, Sriram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
      We present the penalized fast subset scan (PFSS), a new and general framework for scalable and accurate pattern detection. PFSS enables exact and efficient identification of the most anomalous subsets of the data, as measured by a likelihood ratio scan statistic.... View Details
      Keywords: Disease Surveillance; Likelihood Ratio Statistic; Pattern Detection; Scan Statistic; Mathematical Methods
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      Speakman, Skyler, Sriram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Penalized Fast Subset Scanning." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 25, no. 2 (2016): 382–404. (Selected for “Best of JCGS” invited session by the journal’s editor in chief.)
      • Article

      The Ownership and Trading of Debt Claims in Chapter 11 Restructurings

      By: Victoria Ivashina, Benjamin Iverson and David C. Smith
      What is the ownership structure of bankrupt debt claims? How does the ownership evolve though bankruptcy? And how does debt ownership influence Chapter 11 outcomes? To answer these questions, we construct a data set that identifies the entire capital structure for 136... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Structure; Distressed Debt; Trading In Bankruptcy; Restructuring; Capital Structure; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Ownership; Borrowing and Debt; United States
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      Ivashina, Victoria, Benjamin Iverson, and David C. Smith. "The Ownership and Trading of Debt Claims in Chapter 11 Restructurings." Journal of Financial Economics 119, no. 2 (February 2016): 316–335.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications

      By: Emil Siriwardane
      I analyze a rare disasters economy that yields a measure of the risk neutral probability of a macroeconomic disaster, p*t. A large panel of options data provides strong evidence that p*t is the single factor driving option-implied jump risk measures in the cross... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics
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      Siriwardane, Emil. "The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-061, November 2015.
      • Article

      An Evaluation of Money Market Fund Reform Proposals

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, David S. Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam
      U.S. money market mutual funds (MMFs) are an important source of dollar funding for global financial institutions, particularly those headquartered outside the U.S. MMFs proved to be a source of considerable instability during the financial crisis of 2007–2009,... View Details
      Keywords: Balance and Stability; Globalized Markets and Industries; Banks and Banking
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      Hanson, Samuel G., David S. Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam. "An Evaluation of Money Market Fund Reform Proposals." IMF Economic Review 63, no. 4 (November 2015): 984–1023.
      • Fall 2015
      • Article

      Doing Well by Doing Good? Community Development Venture Capital

      By: Josh Lerner and Anna Kovner
      This paper examines the investments and performance of community development venture capital (CDVC). We find substantial differences between CDVC and traditional venture capital (VC) investments: CDVC investments are far more likely to be in nonmetropolitan regions and... View Details
      Keywords: Social Enterprise; Venture Capital
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      Lerner, Josh, and Anna Kovner. "Doing Well by Doing Good? Community Development Venture Capital." Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 24, no. 3 (Fall 2015): 643–663.
      • July 2015
      • Article

      Executives' 'Off-the-Job' Behaviors and Financial Reporting Risk

      By: Robert Davidson, Aiyesha Dey and Abbie Smith
      We examine how executives' behavior outside the workplace, as measured by their ownership of luxury goods (low “frugality”) and prior legal infractions, is related to financial reporting risk. We predict and find that chief executive officers (CEOs) and chief financial... View Details
      Keywords: Management Teams; Behavior; Personal Characteristics; Crime and Corruption; Governance Compliance; Financial Reporting; Organizational Culture
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      Davidson, Robert, Aiyesha Dey, and Abbie Smith. "Executives' 'Off-the-Job' Behaviors and Financial Reporting Risk." Journal of Financial Economics 117, no. 1 (July 2015): 5–28.
      • February 2015 (Revised March 2022)
      • Case

      Quincy Apparel (A)

      By: Thomas R. Eisenmann and Lisa Mazzanti
      Quincy Apparel designs, manufactures and sells work apparel for young professional women that offers the fit and feel of high-end brands at a lower price. In late 2012, Quincy's cofounders are debating how to approach a crucial board meeting. Their seed-stage startup... View Details
      Keywords: Retail; Failure; Online Retail; Women's Apparel; Business Startups; Business Plan; Business Model; Entrepreneurship; Production; E-commerce; Retail Industry; Technology Industry; Fashion Industry; New York (city, NY)
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      Eisenmann, Thomas R., and Lisa Mazzanti. "Quincy Apparel (A)." Harvard Business School Case 815-067, February 2015. (Revised March 2022.)
      • Article

      Doing Business with Strangers: Reputation in Online Service Marketplaces

      By: Antonio Moreno and Christian Terwiesch
      Online service marketplaces allow service buyers to post their project requests and service providers to bid for them. To reduce the transactional risks, marketplaces typically track and publish previous seller performance. By analyzing a detailed transactional data... View Details
      Keywords: Online Service Marketplace; Procurement; Auctions; Reputation; Bids and Bidding
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      Moreno, Antonio, and Christian Terwiesch. "Doing Business with Strangers: Reputation in Online Service Marketplaces." Information Systems Research 25, no. 4 (December 2014): 865–886.
      • November 2014
      • Article

      Evidence on Self-Stereotyping and the Contribution of Ideas

      By: Katherine Baldiga Coffman
      We use a lab experiment to explore the factors that predict an individual's decision to contribute her idea to a group. We find that contribution decisions depend upon the interaction of gender and the gender stereotype associated with the decision-making domain:... View Details
      Keywords: Groups and Teams; Decision Choices and Conditions; Organizations; Gender
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      Coffman, Katherine Baldiga. "Evidence on Self-Stereotyping and the Contribution of Ideas." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 4 (November 2014): 1625–1660.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      Entrepreneurship as Experimentation

      By: William R. Kerr, Ramana Nanda and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf
      Entrepreneurship research is on the rise but many questions about its fundamental nature still exist. We argue that entrepreneurship is about experimentation: the probabilities of success are low, extremely skewed and unknowable until an investment is made. At a macro... View Details
      Keywords: Experiments; Innovation; Entrepreneurship; Innovation and Invention
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      Kerr, William R., Ramana Nanda, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf. "Entrepreneurship as Experimentation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 15-005, July 2014.
      • Article

      Entrepreneurship as Experimentation

      By: William R. Kerr, Ramana Nanda and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf
      Entrepreneurship research is on the rise, but many questions about its fundamental nature still exist. We argue that entrepreneurship is about experimentation: the probabilities of success are low, extremely skewed, and unknowable until an investment is made. At a... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Innovation and Invention
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      Kerr, William R., Ramana Nanda, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf. "Entrepreneurship as Experimentation." Journal of Economic Perspectives 28, no. 3 (Summer 2014): 25–48.
      • July 2014
      • Article

      Smart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial Outcomes

      By: Shawn A. Cole, Anna Paulson and Gauri Kartini Shastry
      Household financial decisions are important for household welfare, economic growth and financial stability. Yet, our understanding of the determinants of financial decision-making is limited. Exploiting exogenous variation in state compulsory schooling laws in both... View Details
      Keywords: Personal Finance; Investment; Decisions; Behavior; Financial Condition
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      Cole, Shawn A., Anna Paulson, and Gauri Kartini Shastry. "Smart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial Outcomes." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 7 (July 2014): 2022–2051.
      • July–August 2014
      • Article

      The Crisis in Retirement Planning

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Corporate America began to really take notice of the looming retirement crisis in the wake of the dot-com crash, when companies in major industries went bankrupt in large part because of their inability to meet their pension obligations. The result was an acceleration... View Details
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      Merton, Robert C. "The Crisis in Retirement Planning." Harvard Business Review 92, nos. 7/8 (July–August 2014): 43–50.
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