Publications
Publications
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- All HBS Web
(2,893)
- Faculty Publications (958)
- 01 Jan 1977
- Conference Presentation
Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data
By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
- October 1976
- Background Note
Industry Structural Change
Presents a framework for understanding and predicting industry structural change. Examines 1) the important underlying forces causing structural change, 2) the key relationships among industry elements in the process of change, and 3) some implications of change for... View Details
- November 1974 (Revised May 1994)
- Case
Science Technology Co.
By: Thomas R. Piper
The president of a medium-sized electronics company is evaluating the financial forecasts and proposed financing program submitted by the chief financial officer. The forecasts are prepared in constant dollars, on which basis the proposed financing plan seems... View Details
- January 1972
- Background Note
Note on Forecasting
By: Paul W. Marshall
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
- 2023
- Chapter
Analyzing Human Decisions and Machine Predictions in Bail Decision Making
By: Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan
BOOK ABSTRACT: Oriented toward the introductory student, The Inequality Reader is the essential textbook for today's undergraduate courses. The editors have assembled the most important classic and contemporary readings about how poverty and inequality are... View Details
Keywords: Equality and Inequality
- Forthcoming
- Article
Automatic Enrollment with a 12% Default Contribution Rate
By: John Beshears, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and James J. Choi
We study a retirement savings plan with a default contribution rate of 12% of income, which is much higher than previously studied defaults. Twenty-five percent of employees had not opted out of this default 12 months after hire; a literature review finds that the... View Details
- Research Summary
Conceptualizing and measuring environmental sustainability
This research involves developing clarity around the murky construct of environmental sustainability, and improving techniques to measure corporate environmental performance. My prior research in this domain includes View Details
- Research Summary
Customer-Centricity as a Vehicle for Organic Growth
By: Ranjay Gulati
This body of work examines the mechanics of how firms grow profitably in commoditizing markets. Underlying the "customer-centricity" that many firms embrace today is a factor that will determine their success with this effort: enabling collaboration across... View Details
- Teaching Interest
Data Science for Managers
By: Chiara Farronato
This new course is taught as a required course in the first year MBA curriculum as of a.y. 2023-2024. It provides students with the foundations of data science to become effective data-driven managers. The course covers the basics of visualization, statistical and... View Details
- Research Summary
Entrepreneurial Management
Howard H. Stevenson is researching and writing on the need for and consequences of predictability. In work designed for a managerial audience, he is examining the roles played by organizations, cultures, and ethical systems in enabling individuals to predict the... View Details
- Teaching Interest
Executive Education: Finance for Senior Executives
By: Malcolm P. Baker
Finance for Senior Executives provides the frameworks to strategically use financial resources and position your company for future success. By examining corporate finance from both internal and external perspectives, this HBS Executive Education
- Forthcoming
- Article
FinTech Lending and Cashless Payments
By: Pulak Ghosh, Boris Vallée and Yao Zeng
Borrower's use of cashless payments both improves their access to capital from FinTech lenders and predicts a lower probability of default. These relationships are stronger for cashless technologies providing more precise information, and for outflows. Cashless payment... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
Human-Algorithm Collaboration with Private Information: Naïve Advice Weighting Behavior and Mitigation
By: Maya Balakrishnan, Kris Ferreira and Jordan Tong
Even if algorithms make better predictions than humans on average, humans may sometimes have private information which an algorithm does not have access to that can improve performance. How can we help humans effectively use and adjust recommendations made by... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs
By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details
- Research Summary
Inflation, Openness, and Exchange-Rate Regimes. The Quest for Short-Term Commitment
By: Laura Alfaro
This paper further tests Romers (1993) extension of Kydland and Prescotts (1977) predictions on dynamic-inconsistency problems with regard to open economies. In a panel data set, I find that openness does not seem to play a role in the short run in restricting... View Details
- Research Summary
International Financial Integration and Entrepreneurship (joint with Andrew Charlton)
By: Laura Alfaro
We explore the relation between international financial integration and the level of entrepreneurial activity in a country. Researchers have stressed the role of new firm activity and economic dynamism on growth. Yet, the empirical effects of international capital... View Details
- Research Summary
Making Machine Learning Models Interpretable
I work on developing various tools and methodologies which can help decision makers (e.g., doctors, managers) to better understand the predictions of machine learning models. View Details
- Teaching Interest
MBA Required Curriculum—Strategy
By: Benjamin C. Esty
The objective of this course is to help students develop the skills for formulating strategy. It provides an understanding of:
- A firm's operative environment and how to sustain competitive advantage.
- How to generate superior... View Details
- Teaching Interest
MBA Required Curriculum-- Strategy Course
The objective of this course is to help students develop the skills for formulating strategy. It provides an understanding of:
- A firm's operative environment and how to sustain competitive advantage.
- How to generate superior value for customers... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity
By: Anke Becker
This paper studies the origins and function of customs and norms that intend to keep women from being promiscuous. Using large-scale survey data from more than 100 countries, I test the anthropological theory that a particular form of preindustrial... View Details