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  • 07 Aug 2000
  • Research & Ideas

Rocket Science Retailing

Retailers can significantly improve forecast accuracy simply by updating their predictions based on early sales data, tracking the accuracy of their forecasts, getting product testing right, and using a variety of forecasting approaches.... View Details
Keywords: by Marshall L. Fisher, Ananth Raman & Anna Sheen McClelland; Retail
  • 19 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 19, 2018

discrimination. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=53686 Channeled Attention and Stable Errors By: Gagnon-Bartsch, Tristan, Matthew Rabin, and Joshua Schwartzstein Abstract—A common critique of models... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 28 Sep 2010
  • First Look

First Look: September 28, 2010

"lean," capacity-constrained firms. As demand varies, the industry switches between symmetric and asymmetric phases, generating predictions for firm size and costs across the business cycle. Surprisingly, increasing available... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Dec 2006
  • First Look

First Look: December 19, 2006

these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 29

creates three kinds of traps that often impede deep learning. The first is attribution error or the tendency to see superior performance as rooted in one's actions rather than other factors (such as luck). The second is that success feeds... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Jun 2013
  • First Look

First Look: June 4

predicted by the theory. Publisher's link: http://www.people.hbs.edu/mrhodeskropf/VCRiskReturn59.pdf 2006 Harvard Business Review Health Care's Service Fanatics: How the Cleveland Clinic Leaped to the Top of the Patient-satisfaction... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 8

of causes. System-level accidents occur when anomalies or errors in different parts of an interconnected system negatively reinforce one another, spiraling up out of control until they eventually drive the system outside of its... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the film rental and return patterns of a sample of online DVD rental customers over a period of four months. We View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 31 Jan 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017

whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 26 May 2015
  • First Look

First Look: May 26

health care professionals, physicians are challenged to minimize the likelihood of errors that could harm patients while simultaneously making efforts to understand the causes of illnesses and develop better ways to prevent, treat, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

determines the optimal number of customers to target. The resulting optimal customer ranking and target size selection leads to, on average, a 115% improvement in profit compared to current methods. Remarkably, the improvement in profit comes along with more View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 8

use a new dataset on industry-level targeting to analyze quality FDI based on the subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

(Study 1). Product priming also increases the speed with which product-relevant individuals come to mind (Study 2). In Study 3, consumers felt subjectively closer to networks primed by specific products, and this felt closeness predicted... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jan 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Is Groupon Good for Retailers?

anticipation of offering discounts and the possibility of consumers buying multiple discount vouchers. By demonstrating the importance of these factors, and exploring the relationship between these factors, we hope to help retailers View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Advertising; Technology
  • 01 Dec 2011
  • What Do You Think?

Thinking Slow: An Argument for Bureaucracy?

predictable irrationality in citizens and consumers by "nudging" them by means of economic incentives to act in ways that regulators believe are in citizens' best interests. Lest we underplay the significance of this or somehow... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 22 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 22

restatements can represent an absence of errors, it can also indicate a lack of detection and disclosure of errors and irregularities. We infer the magnitude of detection and disclosure by associating the frequency of restatements with... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 17, 2007

system with periodic review, constant leadtimes, infinite supply, full backlogging, linear holding and penalty costs and no ordering costs. Forecasting ARIMA time series requires tracking forecast errors (interpolations) and using these... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Apr 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 10, 2018

emphasize the value of being prudent with money. Additional analysis supports our predicted indirect effect of religiosity on spending through frugality. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54362 2018 The New... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jun 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, June 13

sensitivity to ambiguity also predicted a greater frequency of arrests. Together, these data suggest that alterations in cost-benefit decision-making under conditions of ambiguity may promote antisocial behavior. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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