Economic Risk - Publications - Faculty & Research

14 Jun 2011
First Look

First Look: June 14

always want to hear that a person is struggling, nor do they necessarily reward risk taking, even though they might pay lip service to innovative initiative. The authors outline several steps that individuals can take to shake off fear... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

October 2001 (Revised March 2006)
Case

Chad-Cameroon Petroleum Development and Pipeline Project (A), The

By: Benjamin C. Esty and Carrie Ferman

On June 6, 2000, the World Bank's and IFC's board of directors was scheduled to vote on whether to approve funding for the $4 billion Chad-Cameroon Petroleum Development and Pipeline project. Although the project presented a unique opportunity to alleviate poverty in... View Details

Keywords: Risk Management; Negotiation; Ethics; Social Issues; Economic Sectors; Investment; Cost vs Benefits; Project Finance; Developing Countries and Economies; Corporate Finance; Mining Industry; Chad; Cameroon

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02 Aug 2006
Research & Ideas

Investor Protection: The Czech Experience

political risk influences the financing and operational decisions of U.S. multinational firms both at the subsidiary and firm-wide level. Several interesting results are emerging from this work—first, multinational firms View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Media & Broadcasting; Entertainment & Recreation

Article

Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?

By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk

We model and calibrate the arguments in favor and against short-term and long-term debt. These arguments broadly include: maturity premium, sustainability, and service smoothing. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortions and government... View Details

Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return; Development Economics; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Cost; Interest Rates; Developing Countries and Economies; Welfare; United States; Brazil

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12 Mar 2014
Research & Ideas

Entrepreneurship and Multinationals Drive Globalization

War I, the management of political risk became a central concern for firms operating internationally. These risks were on many levels, from expropriation to exchange controls and other View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Beauty & Cosmetics; Manufacturing; Consumer Products; Pharmaceutical

22 May 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 22, 2018

forthcoming American Economic Review Innovation, Reallocation and Growth By: Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, Nicholas Bloom, and William R. Kerr Abstract—We build a model of firm-level innovation, productivity growth, and... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

02 Jun 2011
What Do You Think?

Is it Time for a National Bankruptcy?

question this raises is which lenders, nations or commercial institutions? Shann Turnbull, citing some of his own work on the subject, argued that the risks of allowing insolvency "can no longer be reliably managed because they have... View Details

Keywords: by Jim Heskett

2005
Working Paper

Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk

The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium... View Details

Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Inflation and Deflation; System Shocks; Developing Countries and Economies; Mathematical Methods

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April 2020
Background Note

U.S. Food Retail During the Pandemic: March 2020

By: José B. Alvarez and Natalie Kindred

This note, written in late March 2020 and mainly U.S. focused, looks at the unfolding impact of the coronavirus pandemic on food retailers and their suppliers. It allows student to consider the challenges facing food retail executives as they navigate urgent supply... View Details

Keywords: Coronavirus Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Food; Supply Chain; Consumer Behavior; Demand and Consumers; Trade; Crisis Management; Health Pandemics; Food and Beverage Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Retail Industry; United States

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21 Jun 2010
Research & Ideas

Strategy and Execution for Emerging Markets

Emerging markets such as the BRIC countries—Brazil, Russia, India, and China—entice and intimidate. When managers are asked what is special about emerging markets, they typically point to rapid economic growth, potential competitors, and... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

October 2019
Article

Does Political Uncertainty Increase External Financing Costs? Measuring the Electoral Premium in Syndicated Lending

By: Olivia S. Kim

This article investigates the impact of political uncertainty on contractual lending terms using a large sample of syndicated loans and a within-firm estimation approach to achieve identification. Firms pay 7 basis points (bps) more on loans originated when their... View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Political Elections; Financing and Loans; Developing Countries and Economies

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March 8, 2008
Comment

Marketing Your Way Through a Recession

By: John A. Quelch

The signs of an imminent recession are all around us. The spillover from the subprime mortgage crisis is weakening both consumer confidence and the consumer spending—much of it on credit—that has been buoying the U.S. economy. View Details

Keywords: Marketing; Recession; Products And Sales; Core Values; Fluctuation; Volatility; Economic Growth; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Growth and Development; Marketing Strategy; Product Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty; Salesforce Management; Asia; Europe; Latin America; North and Central America

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27 Oct 2009
First Look

First Look: October 27

T. Pittinsky. Harvard Business School Press, 2009 Banking Deregulations, Financing Constraints and Firm Entry Size Authors: William R. Kerr and Ramana Nanda Publication: Journal of the European Economic Association (forthcoming) Abstract... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

29 Mar 2011
First Look

First Look: March 29

http://www.francescagino.com/uploads/4/7/4/7/4747506/gino_shea_deception_chapter_2012.pdf Stock Price Fragility Authors:Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar Publication:Journal of Financial Economics (forthcoming) Abstract We investigate the... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

23 Dec 2008
First Look

First Look: December 23, 2008

so the happiness gains that they experience, whilst not permanent, can still be relatively long-lasting. Finally we study a cross section of nations in 2005 from the World Gallup Poll and find that the past 45 years of economic growth... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

11 Feb 2015
Research & Ideas

Politicians Benefited From Using Toxic Loans

only to see the rates skyrocket when the crisis hit. Many mayors cried foul, insisting that they had been hoodwinked. But were the local politicians really unwitting fools? “The question is, Did local politicians get fooled into engaging in risky transactions, or did... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Financial Services

07 Oct 2015
What Do You Think?

What is the Best Immigration Model for the US?

On Immigration Does the US Have Anything to Learn from Europe? We should not confuse the potential economic benefits of immigration for the United States with what is happening in Europe and specifically Germany. While the benefits can be... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

19 Feb 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 19, 2019

architecture. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55689 2019 Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Applications 2 Behavioral Economics and Health-Care Markets By: Chandra, Amitabh, Benjamin Handel,... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

09 Apr 2014
Research & Ideas

A Playbook for Small-Business Job Creation

As Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA), Karen Mills spent four years as part of President Barack Obama's senior economic team and a member of his Cabinet, specifically focused on the health and growth of America's... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Banking; Financial Services