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Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (857)
    • News  (79)
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    • Events  (14)
    • Multimedia  (4)
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  • January 2008
  • Background Note

Index Options

By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of this simulation is to understand the patterns in index option prices that are not predicted by the Black-Scholes model. In particular, the simulation focuses on two properties of options prices. First, at-the-money implied volatilities from index options... View Details
Keywords: Volatility; Stock Options; Investment; Price; Profit; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Index Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-119, January 2008.
  • January 2002 (Revised October 2007)
  • Case

Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., 2001

By: Joshua Musher and Andre F. Perold
Asset manager GMO underperforms the market during the 1996-2000 stock market bubble because of the focus on absolute risk. After suffering significant client withdrawals, performance again shines when the bubble collapses. Did they win the battle only to lose the war?... View Details
Keywords: Customers; Asset Management; Stocks; Investment; Price Bubble; Mathematical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty
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Musher, Joshua, and Andre F. Perold. "Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., 2001." Harvard Business School Case 202-049, January 2002. (Revised October 2007.)
  • October 1993 (Revised August 1996)
  • Background Note

Forecasting with Regression Analysis

By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
Provides an example of regression in one of its most important roles. Relating probabilistic forecasts based on past data to decision analysis. View Details
Keywords: Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Analytics and Data Science; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods
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Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Forecasting with Regression Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 894-007, October 1993. (Revised August 1996.)
  • Working Paper

The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence from Municipal Aggregation

By: Tatyana Deryugina, Alexander MacKay and Julian Reif
Economic theory suggests that demand is more elastic in the long run relative to the short run, but evidence on the empirical relevance of this phenomenon is scarce. We study the dynamics of residential electricity demand by exploiting price variation arising from a... View Details
Keywords: Energy; Demand and Consumers; Price; Policy; Mathematical Methods
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Deryugina, Tatyana, Alexander MacKay, and Julian Reif. "The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence from Municipal Aggregation." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 23483, October 2017.
  • October 2005 (Revised January 2009)
  • Background Note

Corporate Valuation and Market Multiples

By: Timothy A. Luehrman
Provides a basic introduction to the use of market multiples for business valuation. Explains the method's reliance on the Law of One Price, sets forth the basic steps for using the method, and reviews some practical issues arising in its application. View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Valuation
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Luehrman, Timothy A. "Corporate Valuation and Market Multiples." Harvard Business School Background Note 206-039, October 2005. (Revised January 2009.)
  • September 1974 (Revised April 1975)
  • Case

Ocean Spray Cranberries, Inc. (A)

At the conclusion of a small-scale pilot survey, management must decide whether to invest in a larger survey or terminate the project. The objective of the study is to use psychographic measurement techniques to study the alternative positions of cranberry sauce.... View Details
Keywords: Surveys; Product Positioning; Mathematical Methods; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
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DeBruicker, F., and Jan-Erik Modig. "Ocean Spray Cranberries, Inc. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 575-039, September 1974. (Revised April 1975.)
  • September 1989
  • Background Note

Introduction to Decision Making

By: Francis Aguilar
Describes the process of decision making (establish objectives, generate alternatives, and so on) emphasizing the human side of it (using rules of thumb, favoring one's own pet projects) yet demonstrating the role an analytic/quantitative contribution has to make. View Details
Keywords: Decision Making; Goals and Objectives; Mathematical Methods; Perspective
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Aguilar, Francis. "Introduction to Decision Making." Harvard Business School Background Note 390-048, September 1989.
  • 1980
  • Article

Consumer Impulse Purchase and Credit Card Usage: An Empirical Examination Using the Log Linear Model

By: Rohit Deshpandé and S. Krishnan
Most of the work in impulse purchase behavior has investigated the association of socioeconomic variables and unplanned purchases with equivocal results. This paper examines the interrelationship between impulse purchases, credit card usage, cost of items bought, and... View Details
Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Mathematical Methods; Credit Cards; Income
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Deshpandé, Rohit, and S. Krishnan. "Consumer Impulse Purchase and Credit Card Usage: An Empirical Examination Using the Log Linear Model." Advances in Consumer Research 7 (1980): 792–795.
  • April 2022
  • Article

Predictable Financial Crises

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer and Jakob Ahm Sørensen
Using historical data on post-war financial crises around the world, we show that crises are substantially predictable. The combination of rapid credit and asset price growth over the prior three years, whether in the nonfinancial business or the household sector, is... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Global Range; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, and Jakob Ahm Sørensen. "Predictable Financial Crises." Journal of Finance 77, no. 2 (April 2022): 863–921.
  • January 2008
  • Background Note

Convertible Arbitrage

By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of this simulation is to understand how convertible bonds can be viewed as a portfolio of simpler securities and to introduce an over-the-counter market. The convertible bonds that are available during the simulation are at-the-money and in-the-money so that... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Investment Portfolio; Price; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Convertible Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-116, January 2008.
  • November 2001 (Revised October 2017)
  • Case

GuestFirst Hotel (A): Customer Loyalty

By: Frances X. Frei and Dennis Campbell
Provides a hotel context in which to explore the link between customer loyalty and financial performance, using four years of hotel data. Challenges students to find the extent of the relationship between loyalty and performance. View Details
Keywords: Motivation and Incentives; Mathematical Methods; Finance; Performance; Relationships; Customer Focus and Relationships; Data and Data Sets; Accommodations Industry
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Frei, Frances X., and Dennis Campbell. "GuestFirst Hotel (A): Customer Loyalty." Harvard Business School Case 602-099, November 2001. (Revised October 2017.)
  • January 1995
  • Case

Understanding User Needs

By: Marco Iansiti and Ellen Stein
Presents an introduction to methods for understanding user needs in product development. Describes a number of techniques including the use of focus groups, interviews, questionnaires, the Kano method, Lead User analysis, the Product Value matrix, OFD, etc. Provides a... View Details
Keywords: Customer Satisfaction; Customer Value and Value Chain; Product Development; Mathematical Methods
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Iansiti, Marco, and Ellen Stein. "Understanding User Needs." Harvard Business School Case 695-051, January 1995.
  • May 2009 (Revised December 2009)
  • Teaching Note

Reliance Baking Soda: Optimizing Promotional Spending (Brief Case)

By: John A. Quelch and Heather Beckham
Teaching Note to Briefcase 4128 View Details
Keywords: Quantitative Analysis; Consumer Marketing; Marketing Planning; Product Management; Sales Promotions; Program Budgeting; Marketing Strategy; Marketing Channels; Mathematical Methods; Advertising; Budgets and Budgeting; Product Marketing; Communication Strategy
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Quelch, John A., and Heather Beckham. "Reliance Baking Soda: Optimizing Promotional Spending (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 094-128, May 2009. (Revised December 2009.)
  • 2010
  • Chapter

Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China

By: Lee Branstetter and C. Fritz Foley
Despite the rapid expansion of U.S.-China trade ties, the increase in U.S. FDI in China, and the expanding amount of economic research exploring these developments, a number of misconceptions distort the popular understanding of U.S. multinationals in China. In this... View Details
Keywords: Expansion; Trade; Foreign Direct Investment; Mathematical Methods; Multinational Firms and Management; China; United States
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Branstetter, Lee, and C. Fritz Foley. "Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China." In China's Growing Role in World Trade, edited by Robert Feenstra and Shang-Jin Wei. University of Chicago Press, 2010.
  • 2007
  • Working Paper

Optimal Reserve Management and Sovereign Debt

By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
Most models currently used to determine optimal foreign reserve holdings take the level of international debt as given. However, given the sovereign's willingness-to-pay incentive problems, reserve accumulation may reduce sustainable debt levels. In addition, assuming... View Details
Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Liquidity; International Finance; Emerging Markets; Mathematical Methods
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Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Optimal Reserve Management and Sovereign Debt." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13216, July 2007.
  • Fourth Quarter 2007
  • Article

Contingent Claims Approach to Measuring and Managing Sovereign Credit Risk

By: Dale . F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
This paper proposes a new approach to measure, analyze, and manage sovereign risk based on the theory and practice of modern contingent claims analysis (CCA). The paper provides a new framework for adapting the CCA model to the sovereign balance sheet in a way that can... View Details
Keywords: Credit; Investment; Sovereign Finance; Risk Management; Emerging Markets; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Valuation
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Gray, Dale . F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "Contingent Claims Approach to Measuring and Managing Sovereign Credit Risk." Special Issue on Credit Analysis. Journal of Investment Management 5, no. 4 (Fourth Quarter 2007): 5–28.
  • January 1995 (Revised January 1995)
  • Case

USAA: Business Process Review for the Great Lakes Region (Abridged)

By: James L. Heskett
Presents the results of a service process analysis of USAA's claims processing activity in its Great Lakes Region. Explores not only issues of redesigning the process but also the organizational implications of various alternatives. View Details
Keywords: Restructuring; Mortgages; Management Practices and Processes; Business Processes; Organizational Design; Mathematical Methods; Real Estate Industry; North America
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Heskett, James L. "USAA: Business Process Review for the Great Lakes Region (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 395-026, January 1995. (Revised January 1995.)
  • Article

Productivity and Selection of Human Capital with Machine Learning

By: Aaron Chalfin, Oren Danieli, Andrew Hillis, Zubin Jelveh, Michael Luca, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan
Keywords: Analytics and Data Science; Selection and Staffing; Performance Productivity; Mathematical Methods; Policy
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Chalfin, Aaron, Oren Danieli, Andrew Hillis, Zubin Jelveh, Michael Luca, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainathan. "Productivity and Selection of Human Capital with Machine Learning." American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 106, no. 5 (May 2016): 124–127.
  • fall 2008
  • Article

Toward a Theory of Behavioral Operations

By: Francesca Gino and Gary P. Pisano
Human beings are critical to the functioning of the vast majority of operating systems, influencing both the way these systems work and how they perform. Yet most formal analytical models of operations assume that the people who participate in operating systems are... View Details
Keywords: Management Systems; Operations; Mathematical Methods; Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Perspective; Theory
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Gino, Francesca, and Gary P. Pisano. "Toward a Theory of Behavioral Operations." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10, no. 4 (fall 2008): 676–691.
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

The New Digital Divide

By: Mayana Pereira, Shane Greenstein, Raffaella Sadun, Prasanna Tambe, Lucia Ronchi Darre, Tammy Glazer, Allen Kim, Rahul Dodhia and Juan Lavista Ferres
We build and analyze new metrics of digital usage that leverage telemetry data collected by Microsoft during operating system updates across forty million Windows devices in U.S. households. These measures of US household digital usage are much more comprehensive than... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Measurement and Metrics; Geographic Location; Behavior; Technology Adoption; Demographics
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Pereira, Mayana, Shane Greenstein, Raffaella Sadun, Prasanna Tambe, Lucia Ronchi Darre, Tammy Glazer, Allen Kim, Rahul Dodhia, and Juan Lavista Ferres. "The New Digital Divide." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32932, September 2024.
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