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All HBS Web
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- Faculty Publications (951)
- April 2024
- Article
Decision Authority and the Returns to Algorithms
By: Hyunjin Kim, Edward L. Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers and Michael Luca
We evaluate a pilot in an Inspections Department to explore the returns to a pair of algorithms that varied in their sophistication. We find that both algorithms provided substantial prediction gains, suggesting that even simple data may be helpful. However, these...
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Keywords:
Algorithmic Aversion;
Algorithmic Decision Making;
Algorithms;
Public Entrepreneurship;
Govenment;
Local Government;
Crowdsourcing;
Crowdsourcing Contests;
Inspection;
Principal-agent Theory;
Government Administration;
Decision Making;
Public Administration Industry;
United States
Kim, Hyunjin, Edward L. Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers, and Michael Luca. "Decision Authority and the Returns to Algorithms." Strategic Management Journal 45, no. 4 (April 2024): 619–648.
- April 2024
- Article
Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads
By: Samuel G. Hanson, Aytek Malkhozov and Gyuri Venter
We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users' demand for
and constrained intermediaries’ supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect
compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital and for bearing convergence...
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Keywords:
Swap Spreads;
Credit Derivatives and Swaps;
Interest Rates;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Volatility
Hanson, Samuel G., Aytek Malkhozov, and Gyuri Venter. "Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads." Art. 103814. Journal of Financial Economics 154 (April 2024).
- April–May 2024
- Article
Gone with the Big Data: Institutional Lender Demand for Private Information
By: Jung Koo Kang
I explore whether big-data sources can crowd out the value of private information acquired through lending relationships. Institutional lenders have been shown to exploit their access to borrowers’ private information by trading on it in financial markets. As a shock...
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Keywords:
Analytics and Data Science;
Borrowing and Debt;
Financial Markets;
Value;
Knowledge Dissemination;
Financing and Loans
Kang, Jung Koo. "Gone with the Big Data: Institutional Lender Demand for Private Information." Art. 101663. Journal of Accounting & Economics 77, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2024).
- April 2024
- Article
Loneliness and Emotion Regulation in Daily Life
By: Lameese Eldesouky, Amit Goldenberg and Kate Ellis
There is a growing understanding that emotion regulation (ER) abilities can be an important buffer for loneliness. However, most of this research is cross-sectional. Thus, it is unknown whether loneliness is associated with ER in momentary evaluations and can predict...
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Eldesouky, Lameese, Amit Goldenberg, and Kate Ellis. "Loneliness and Emotion Regulation in Daily Life." Art. 112566. Personality and Individual Differences 221 (April 2024).
- 2024
- Working Paper
Valuing Stocks With Earnings
By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
We show that commonly used aggregate earnings are several times as volatile as stock prices
over the last three decades. Movements in the price-earnings ratio are thus entirely explained by
earnings growth and unrelated to future returns. As an alternative to the...
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Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "Valuing Stocks With Earnings." Working Paper, April 2024.
- March 2024
- Case
Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (A)
By: N. Louis Shipley and Stacy Straaberg
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional...
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Keywords:
Acquisition;
Business Growth and Maturation;
Communication Strategy;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Business Cycles;
Technological Innovation;
Sports;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Resource Allocation;
Marketing;
Sales;
Business Strategy;
Expansion;
Sports Industry;
Technology Industry;
United States;
North Carolina
- March 2024
- Supplement
Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (B)
By: N. Louis Shipley, Stacy Straaberg and Tom Quinn
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional...
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Keywords:
Acquisition;
Business Growth and Maturation;
Communication Strategy;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Business Cycles;
Technological Innovation;
Sports;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Resource Allocation;
Marketing;
Sales;
Business Strategy;
Expansion;
Valuation;
Sports Industry;
Technology Industry;
United States;
North Carolina
- March 2024
- Teaching Note
Sonder Holdings Inc.: Using Technology to Solve Hospitality's Frictions
By: John A. Deighton and Leora Kornfeld
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 922-039. Digital disruption is challenging the hospitality industry. Traditional hotels face competition from platforms, most visibly Airbnb but also the homeshare divisions of online travel agencies such as Expedia and Booking.com, that...
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- March 2024
- Case
Hippo: Weathering the Storm of the Home Insurance Crisis
By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
Rick McCathron, CEO of Hippo, considered how the firm’s underwriting model could account for the effects of climate change. Along with providing smart home packages, targeting risk-friendly customers, and using data-driven pricing, the Insurtech used technologically...
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Keywords:
Fintech;
Underwriters;
Big Data;
Insurance Companies;
Business Model Design;
Weather Insurance;
Business Model;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Climate Change;
Environmental Sustainability;
Green Technology;
Technological Innovation;
Natural Environment;
Natural Disasters;
Weather;
Business Strategy;
Competitive Advantage;
Business Earnings;
Insurance;
Social Issues;
Insurance Industry;
United States;
California
- 2024
- Working Paper
Corporate Debt, Boom-Bust Cycles, and Financial Crises
By: Victoria Ivashina, Sebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Luc Laeven and Karsten Müller
Using a new dataset on sectoral credit exposures covering financial and non-financial sectors in 115 economies over the period 1940–2014, we document the following evidence that corporate debt plays a key role in explaining boom-bust cycles, financial crises, and slow...
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Keywords:
Financial Crisis;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Economic Growth;
Economic Sectors;
Borrowing and Debt;
Credit
Ivashina, Victoria, Sebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Luc Laeven, and Karsten Müller. "Corporate Debt, Boom-Bust Cycles, and Financial Crises." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32225, March 2024.
- March 2024
- Module Note
Navigating the Future: Managing Financial Forecasts
By: Mark Egan
This module note guides instructors on delivering a course module that focuses on understanding, developing, and using financial forecasts from a chief financial officer’s (CFO) perspective. The cases in the module equip students with an understanding of the techniques...
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Keywords:
CFO;
Forecasting;
Corporate Finance;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Financial Management;
Revenue;
United States
Egan, Mark. "Navigating the Future: Managing Financial Forecasts." Harvard Business School Module Note 224-075, March 2024.
- March 2024
- Article
The Asymmetric Mispricing Information in Analysts’ Target Prices
By: Jeremiah Green, John R. M. Hand and Anywhere Sikochi
We study the mispricing information present in the target prices of U.S. and international analysts. We hypothesize that asymmetry in the value-relevance of the information that managers supply to analysts, combined with asymmetry in the incentives facing analysts to...
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Keywords:
Analysts;
Target Prices;
Mispricing;
Cost Of Equity;
Valuation;
Price;
Cost;
Analysis;
Theory
Green, Jeremiah, John R. M. Hand, and Anywhere Sikochi. "The Asymmetric Mispricing Information in Analysts’ Target Prices." Review of Accounting Studies 29, no. 1 (March 2024): 889–915.
- March 2024
- Article
What Makes Groups Emotional
By: Amit Goldenberg
When people experience emotions in a group, their emotions tend to have stronger intensity and to last longer. Why is that? This question has occupied thinkers throughout history, and with the use of digital media it is even more pressing today. Historically, attention...
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Goldenberg, Amit. "What Makes Groups Emotional." Perspectives on Psychological Science 19, no. 2 (March 2024): 489–502.
- February 2024
- Teaching Note
AB InBev: Brewing Up Forecasts during COVID-19
By: Mark Egan and C. Fritz Foley
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 224-020. In July 2021, the CEO of AB InBev's European operations and his team strategized to position the company for success post-pandemic. As the world's largest beer company, boasting over 500 brands, revenue of $46 billion, and a...
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- February 2024
- Teaching Note
Data-Driven Denim: Financial Forecasting at Levi Strauss
By: Mark Egan
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 224-029. Levi Strauss & Co. (“Levi Strauss”) partnered with the IT services company Wipro to incorporate more sophisticated methods, such as machine learning, into their financial forecasting process starting in 2018. The decision to...
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- February 2024
- Case
ReSpo.Vision: The Kickstart of an AI Sports Revolution
By: Paul A. Gompers, Elena Corsi and Nikolina Jonsson
This case study explores the growth journey of Polish computer vision sports start-up ReSpo.Vision in an emerging entrepreneurial ecosystem. By providing 3D data and analysis to soccer clubs, ReSpo.Vision achieved significant milestones with a €1 million seed round, an...
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Keywords:
Business Startups;
Business Plan;
Experience and Expertise;
Talent and Talent Management;
Decisions;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Entrepreneurship;
Venture Capital;
AI and Machine Learning;
Analytics and Data Science;
Applications and Software;
Business Strategy;
Sports Industry;
Technology Industry;
Poland;
Europe
Gompers, Paul A., Elena Corsi, and Nikolina Jonsson. "ReSpo.Vision: The Kickstart of an AI Sports Revolution." Harvard Business School Case 824-151, February 2024.
- February 2024
- Teaching Note
Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs' Growth (A) and (B)
By: Mark Egan
Teaching Note for HBS Case Nos. 224-023 and 224-024. As 2017 was drawing to a close, birddogs’ founder and CEO, Peter Baldwin, was working with his CFO Jack Sullivan to prepare for 2018. A nascent direct-to-consumer apparel brand, birddogs had carved its niche in men’s...
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- 2023
- Working Paper
'De Gustibus' and Disputes about Reference Dependence
By: Thomas Graeber, Pol Campos-Mercade, Lorenz Goette, Alexandre Kellogg and Charles Sprenger
Existing tests of reference-dependent preferences assume universal loss aversion. This paper examines the implications of heterogeneity in gain-loss attitudes for such tests. In experiments on labor supply and exchange behavior we measure gain-loss attitudes and then...
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Graeber, Thomas, Pol Campos-Mercade, Lorenz Goette, Alexandre Kellogg, and Charles Sprenger. "'De Gustibus' and Disputes about Reference Dependence." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-046, January 2024.
- February 2024
- Module Note
Data-Driven Marketing in Retail Markets
By: Ayelet Israeli
This note describes an eight-class sessions module on data-driven marketing in retail markets. The module aims to familiarize students with core concepts of data-driven marketing in retail, including exploring the opportunities and challenges, adopting best practices,...
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Keywords:
Data;
Data Analytics;
Retail;
Retail Analytics;
Data Science;
Business Analytics;
"Marketing Analytics";
Omnichannel;
Omnichannel Retailing;
Omnichannel Retail;
DTC;
Direct To Consumer Marketing;
Ethical Decision Making;
Algorithmic Bias;
Privacy;
A/B Testing;
Descriptive Analytics;
Prescriptive Analytics;
Predictive Analytics;
Analytics and Data Science;
E-commerce;
Marketing Channels;
Demand and Consumers;
Marketing Strategy;
Retail Industry
Israeli, Ayelet. "Data-Driven Marketing in Retail Markets." Harvard Business School Module Note 524-062, February 2024.
- February 2024
- Supplement
ReNew (B): A New Direction
By: Gunnar Trumbull and Malini Sen
The global renewables sector was in a slump, but the Indian market was booming. India’s largest renewable electricity generator, ReNew, faced a dilemma: it traded on the Nasdaq in New York, but saw huge opportunity in the Indian market. In response, CEO Sumant Sinha...
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Keywords:
Energy Generation;
Renewable Energy;
Entrepreneurship;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Trends;
Transformation;
Private Ownership;
Environmental Sustainability;
Mission and Purpose;
Expansion;
Market Entry and Exit;
Energy Industry;
Asia;
India
Trumbull, Gunnar, and Malini Sen. "ReNew (B): A New Direction." Harvard Business School Supplement 724-032, February 2024.