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  • July – August 2009
  • Article

The Descent of Finance

What if the current recession turns out to be like the Great Depression of 1929-1933? Four years from now, the United States might find itself with a still-shrinking economy, half as many banks as in 2009, a third as many hedge funds, and retail banking resembling a... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; International Finance; Globalized Economies and Regions; Business and Government Relations; Financial Services Industry
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  • December 2021
  • Article

Negativity Spreads More Than Positivity on Twitter after Both Positive and Negative Political Situations

By: Jonas Paul Schöne, Brian Parkinson and Amit Goldenberg
What type of emotional language spreads further in political discourses on social media? Previous research has focused on situations that primarily elicited negative emotions, showing that negative language tended to spread further. The current project extends existing... View Details
Keywords: Negative Emotions; Emotional Influence; Emotional Resonance; Political Discourse; Emotion Contagion; Intergroup; Interactive Communication; Emotions; Government and Politics; Social Media
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  • 30 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 30

order too, with China's GDP rising to half that of the U.S. by 2013 and the IMF's Special Drawing Rights replacing the dollar as the international reserve currency. Ferguson analyzes the roots of the crisis... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 23 Jan 2019
  • Sharpening Your Skills

Sports: Lessons for Managers

strength." The following stories from our archives look into sports both as a business opportunity and as a metaphor. Are you ready to level the playing field? Alex Ferguson's Lessons on Leading For almost three decades, Sir Alex View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Sports
  • 25 Apr 2018
  • Research & Ideas

We May Have Taken Too Much Credit for Easing Workplace Segregation

has indeed increased at certain workplaces, particularly ones dominated by white workers, as more minorities have been hired at these firms over time. But as Koning and Ferguson zoomed out and looked at a... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 27 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 27, 2018

within-firm processes. By doing so, we may be overstating what progress has been made on employment integration and ignoring other avenues of intervention that may give greater leverage for further integrating firms. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • January 2009 (Revised December 2017)
  • Case

Who Broke the Bank of England?

By: Niall Ferguson and Jonathan Schlefer
In the summer of 1992, hedge fund manager George Soros was contemplating the possibility that the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) would break down. Designed to pave the way for a full-scale European Monetary Union, the ERM was a system of fixed exchange rates... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Currency Exchange Rate; Investment; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Financial Services Industry; European Union
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  • 2009
  • Working Paper

The End of Chimerica

By: Niall Ferguson and Moritz Schularick
For the better part of the past decade, the world economy has been dominated by a world economic order that combined Chinese export-led development with US over-consumption. The financial crisis of 2007-2009 likely marks the beginning of the end of the Chimerican... View Details
Keywords: History; Globalized Economies and Regions; Currency Exchange Rate; Economic Growth; Trade; Financial Crisis; China; United States
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  • 21 Jun 2011
  • First Look

First Look: June 21

process by getting in the way of Schumpeter's "creative destruction." Read the journal: http://symposium.cshlp.org/content/74 Too Big to Live: Why We Must Stamp Out State Monopoly Capitalism Authors: View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • February 1986 (Revised November 1992)
  • Case

Novo Industri A/S--1981

By: W. Carl Kester and Glynn Ferguson
This small but rapidly growing Danish biochemical company must choose among several financing opportunities that include a convertible Eurobond, a rights offering in Denmark and an issue of new common shares in the United States. The case involves a broad range of... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Cost of Capital; Bonds; Stock Shares; Financing and Loans; Globalization; Biotechnology Industry; Chemical Industry; Denmark; United States
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  • 2021
  • Working Paper

Consuming Contests: Outcome Uncertainty and Spectator Demand for Contest-based Entertainment

By: Patrick J. Ferguson and Karim R. Lakhani
Contests that are designed to be consumed for entertainment by non-contestants are a fixture of economic, cultural and political life. In this paper, we examine whether individuals prefer to consume contests that have more uncertain outcomes. We look to... View Details
Keywords: Contest Design; Information Preferences; Consumer Demand; Sports; Entertainment; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Demand and Consumers; Outcome or Result
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  • 2006
  • Book

The War of the World: Twentieth-century Conflict and the Descent of the West

By: Niall Ferguson
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  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Does Public Ownership and Accountability Increase Diversity? Evidence from IPOs

By: Rembrand Koning and John-Paul Ferguson
Does public ownership improve employment diversity? Organizational researchers theorize that increased transparency to regulators and the public should lead firms to conform to legal and social norms—but that social closure and decoupling should preserve the status... View Details
Keywords: IPO; Initial Public Offering; Employees; Diversity; Gender; Race; Entrepreneurship; United States
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  • June 2018
  • Article

Firm Turnover and the Return of Racial Establishment Segregation

By: John-Paul Ferguson and Rembrand Koning
Racial segregation between American workplaces is greater today than it was a generation ago. This increase has happened alongside the declines in within-establishment occupational segregation on which most prior research has focused. We examine more than 40 years of... View Details
Keywords: Firm Entry; Stratification; Segregration; Entrepreneurship; Business Ventures; Employees; Diversity; Race; Segmentation; United States
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  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Corporate Website-based Measures of Firms' Value Drivers

By: Wei Cai, Dennis Campbell and Patrick Ferguson
We develop and validate new text-based measures of firms’ financial and non-financial value drivers. Using the Wayback Machine to access public US firms’ archived websites from 1995-2020, we scrape text from corporate homepages. We use Kaplan and Norton’s (1992)... View Details
Keywords: Value; Corporate Strategy; Accounting; Analytics and Data Science
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  • 08 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 8

differentiate "quality FDI" in several different ways. First, we look at the possibility that the effects of FDI differ by sector. Second, we differentiate FDI based on objective qualitative industry characteristics including... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Industrial Change, the Boundary of the Firm, and Racial Employment Segregation

By: John-Paul Ferguson and Rembrand Koning
Racial employment segregation between large workplaces in America has grown over the last generation. We know little about how changes in patterns of employment by economic sector have contributed to this growth, though. While there are many stylized narratives about... View Details
Keywords: Workplace Segregation; Firm Boundaries; Organizations; Employees; Segmentation; Race; Change; United States
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  • 24 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 24, 2009

Negotiauctions: New Dealmaking Strategies for a Competitive Marketplace Author:Guhan Subramanian Publication:W.W. Norton & Company, forthcoming Abstract No abstract is available at this time. American Democracy: The Perils of Imperialism Author:Niall View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 24 Jul 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 24, 2018

fund Sachem Head Capital, led by founder Scott Ferguson, launched an activist campaign at computer aided design (CAD) software maker Autodesk. The activist campaign, waged mainly in private, was over Autodesk's lackluster financial... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 29 Sep 2009
  • First Look

First Look: September 29

yields. However, the fraction of seniors is uncorrelated with share repurchases, investment, or profitability, suggesting that geographic variation in dividend payout is not driven by some unmeasured firm characteristic affecting the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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