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Publications

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  • 1977
  • Working Paper

Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance

By: Jerry R. Green
A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of... View Details
Keywords: Social Insurance; Econometric Models; Public Sector; Government Administration; Policy; Human Needs; Social Issues; Risk and Uncertainty
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  • 2021
  • Chapter

Multinationals' Need for State Protection: The Creation of the Swiss Investment Risk Guarantee in the 1960s

By: Sabine Pitteloud
This chapter focuses on the role of Industrie-Holding, the Federation of Swiss Industrial Multinational Companies, in the introduction of an investment risk guarantee during the 1960s. The chapter therefore contributes to a) the growing body of literature on how... View Details
Keywords: Investments; Multinational Companies; Political Risk; Business ＆ Government Relations; Investment; Multinational Firms and Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Business and Government Relations; Switzerland
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  • 2008
  • Working Paper

Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset Returns

By: Christopher J. Malloy, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
We provide new evidence on the success of long-run risks in asset pricing by focusing on the risks borne by stockholders. Exploiting micro-level household consumption data, we show that long-run stockholder consumption risk better captures cross-sectional... View Details
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Stocks; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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  • Sep 2011 - 2011
  • Interview

Capitalism at Risk

By: Lynn S. Paine and Herman B. Leonard
Keywords: Economic Systems
Related
  • December 2009
  • Article

Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset Returns

By: Christopher J. Malloy, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
We provide new evidence on the success of long-run risks in asset pricing by focusing on the risks borne by stockholders. Exploiting micro-level household consumption data, we show that long-run stockholder consumption risk better captures cross-sectional variation in... View Details
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Stocks; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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  • March 1999 (Revised April 1999)
  • Case

Environmental Risk Management at Chevron Corporation

By: Forest L. Reinhardt, Monica M Mandelli and Jennifer Burns
Chevron Corp., headquartered in San Francisco, manages a worldwide, vertically integrated value chain from the oil well to the gasoline station. Mishandling of oil at any stage of production can damage the natural environment, human health, corporate profitability, or... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Environmental Sustainability; Energy Generation; Supply Chain Management; Metals and Minerals; Management Systems; Management Teams; Trade; Vertical Integration; Energy Industry; Mining Industry
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  • 2018
  • Book

A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility

By: Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 caught markets and regulators by surprise. Although the government rushed to rescue other financial institutions from a similar fate after Lehman, it could not prevent the deepest recession in postwar history. A... View Details
Keywords: Financial Fragility; Economic Risk; Investor Behavior; Behavioral Economics; Financial Crisis; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Investment; Values and Beliefs; United States
Related
  • Jan 2012
  • Survey

Prosperity at Risk

economy. The survey results provide strong evidence that America faces a deepening competitiveness problem and help pinpoint where the roots of the problem lie. The survey findings inform the March 2012 issue of Harvard Business Review, which presents analyses of... View Details
  • 01 Dec 2009
  • News

An Empire at Risk

  • Research Summary

Risk Management as a Function of Government

By: David A. Moss
Professor Moss's academic work in this area explores how and why governments manage private-sector risks. Based on historical and institutional research, he argues that risk management constitutes a critical function of government with far-reaching implications. ... View Details
  • October 2009
  • Article

Managing Risk in the New World

By: Robert S. Kaplan, Anette Mikes, Robert Simons, Peter Tufano and Michael Hofmann Jr.
Five experts gathered recently to discuss the future of enterprise risk management: Kaplan, the Baker Foundation Professor at Harvard Business School, who with his colleague David Norton developed the balanced scorecard; Mikes, an assistant professor at HBS who studies... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Capital Structure; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Risk Management
Related
  • 18 Oct 2017
  • Research & Ideas

How Economic Clusters Drive Globalization

(Photo source: iStock) Economic cluster theory has been used to describe the growth of many industries, including the automotive business around Detroit, high tech in Silicon Valley, and digital media in Seoul. These regions benefit by a... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Agriculture & Agribusiness
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk

By: Robert J. Barro and Gordon Y. Liao
A new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the overall stock market when disaster risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative agent with Epstein-Zin utility.... View Details
Keywords: Option Pricing; Rare Disaster; Price; Stock Options; Financial Crisis
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  • October 1977 (Revised April 1998)
  • Case

Japan (D1): A Strategy for Economic Growth

By: Bruce R. Scott and Audrey T. Sproat
Data on Japan's unparalleled economic growth in the post-war era: How was it achieved and what future risks might be foreseen in 1971? View Details
Keywords: Economic Growth; Growth and Development Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Japan
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  • Article

MIT Roundtable on Corporate Risk Management

By: Robert C. Merton

Against the backdrop of financial crisis, a distinguished group of academics and practitioners discusses the contribution of financial management and innovation to corporate growth and value, along with the pitfalls and unintended consequences of such innovation.... View Details

Keywords: Financial Crisis; Market Participation; Finance; Innovation and Invention; Growth and Development Strategy; Value; Distribution; Capital Structure; Risk Management; Business Ventures; Business Model; Strategy
Related

    Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs

    This paper proposes a new approach to social cost-benefit analysis using a model in which a benevolent government chooses risky projects in the presence of market failures and tax distortions.  The government internalizes market failures and therefore perceives project... View Details
    • Web

    Business Economics - Doctoral

    Business Economics From corporate finance, industrial organization, and international business, to markets, competition, and government regulation, HBS doctoral students in Business Economics delve into some... View Details
    • 01 Oct 2009
    • Working Paper Summaries

    Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

    Keywords: by Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton; Construction; Real Estate
    • January 2010 (Revised October 2010)
    • Case

    Colombia: Strong Fundamentals, Global Risk

    By: Aldo Musacchio, Richard H. K. Vietor, Jonathan Schlefer and Carolina Camacho
    By mid-2009 Colombian President Alvaro Uribe had ended decades of virtual civil war and strengthened the business climate, but he faced tough economic challenges. Though he had instituted prominent market reforms and brought inflation down sharply, Colombia seemed... View Details
    Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Macroeconomics; Trade; Global Strategy; Infrastructure; Business and Government Relations; Colombia
    Related
    • 20 Sep 2012
    • Research & Ideas

    US Competitiveness at Risk

    Editor's note: When did America's declining global competitiveness begin? One starting spot might be 2008, the last year the country topped the World Economic Forum's list of most globally competitive nations. Four years later, the US has... View Details
    Keywords: Re: Michael E. Porter & Jan W. Rivkin