Filter Results
:
(193)
Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(266)
- News (45)
- Research (193)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (67)
Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(266)
- News (45)
- Research (193)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (67)
Sort by
- 2024
- Working Paper
LASH Risk and Interest Rates
By: Laura Alfaro, Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Jonathan Hazell and Ioana Neamtu
We introduce a framework to understand and quantify a form of liquidity risk that we dub Liquidity After Solvency Hedging or “LASH” risk. Financial institutions take LASH risk when they hedge against losses, using strategies that lead to liquidity needs when the value...
View Details
Keywords:
Liquidity;
Monetary Policy;
Non-bank Intermediaries;
Hedging;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Investment Funds;
Financial Condition;
Interest Rates
Alfaro, Laura, Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Jonathan Hazell, and Ioana Neamtu. "LASH Risk and Interest Rates." Bank of England Staff Working Papers, No. 1,073, May 2024.
- 2011
- Working Paper
Fractionalization and the Municipal Bond Market
We study the impact of ethnic and religious fractionalization on the U.S. municipal debt market and find that issuers from more ethnically and religiously fractionalized counties pay higher yields on their municipal debt. A two standard deviation increase in religious...
View Details
Keywords:
Ethnicity Characteristics;
Bonds;
Financial Markets;
Investment Return;
Geographic Location;
City;
Religion;
United States
Bergstresser, Daniel, Randolph Cohen, and Siddharth Shenai. "Fractionalization and the Municipal Bond Market." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-128, June 2011.
- Article
Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market
By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
Reaching for yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyzes this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for...
View Details
Keywords:
Fixed Income;
Reaching For Yield;
Financial Intermediation;
Insurance Companies;
Insurance;
Assets;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Risk Management;
Insurance Industry
Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Journal of Finance 70, no. 5 (October 2015): 1863–1902.
- 18 Oct 2013
- Working Paper Summaries
Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks
- January 1994
- Exercise
Walt Disney Company's Sleeping Beauty Bonds
Walt Disney Co. issues a 100-year bond. This case describes the terms of the bond and immediate capital market reaction.
View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Walt Disney Company's Sleeping Beauty Bonds." Harvard Business School Exercise 294-034, January 1994.
- 2012
- Working Paper
Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market
By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
Reaching-for-yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyses this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for...
View Details
Keywords:
Fixed Income;
Reaching For Yield;
Financial Intermediation;
Insurance Companies;
Insurance;
Bonds;
Assets;
Risk Management;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Insurance Industry
Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-103, May 2012. (Revised December 2012. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18909, March 2013)
- 2017
- Article
Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds
By: John Y. Campbell, Adi Sunderam and Luis M. Viceira
The covariance between U.S. Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the early 1980s and negative in the 2000s, particularly in the downturns of...
View Details
Campbell, John Y., Adi Sunderam, and Luis M. Viceira. "Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds." Critical Finance Review 6, no. 2 (2017): 263–301.
- June 2018
- Article
The Fed, the Bond Market, and Gradualism in Monetary Policy
By: Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
We develop a model of monetary policy with two key features: (i) the central bank has some private information about its long-run target for the policy rate, and (ii) the central bank is averse to bond-market volatility. In this setting, discretionary monetary policy...
View Details
Stein, Jeremy C., and Adi Sunderam. "The Fed, the Bond Market, and Gradualism in Monetary Policy." Journal of Finance 73, no. 3 (June 2018): 1015–1060.
- 31 Aug 2009
- Research & Ideas
Why Competition May Not Improve Credit Rating Agencies
reserves when investing in bonds of lower ratings. Ratings are also used in private contracts, for example to define the investment objectives of bond mutual funds. View Details
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence...
View Details
Keywords:
Expectations Hypothesis;
Term Structure;
Real Interest Rate Risk;
Inflation Risk;
Inflation-Indexed Bonds;
Financial Crisis;
Inflation and Deflation;
Financial Liquidity;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- August 2021
- Article
Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright
Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes...
View Details
Hanson, Samuel G., David O. Lucca, and Jonathan H. Wright. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 3 (August 2021): 1719–1781.
- 2008
- Working Paper
Just Keep My Money! Supporting Tax-time Savings with U.S. Savings Bonds
By: Peter Tufano
This paper reports the results of a 2007 experiment testing if specific process simplification can foster increased take-up rates for savings products, particularly by low-to-moderate income (LMI) households. Tax refund recipients at certain H&R Block tax preparation...
View Details
Tufano, Peter. "Just Keep My Money! Supporting Tax-time Savings with U.S. Savings Bonds." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-059, October 2008. (Revised August 2010.)
- Forthcoming
- Article
Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
We survey the growing literature emphasizing the role that supply-and-demand forces play in shaping the term structure of interest rates. Our starting point is the Vayanos and Vila (2009, 2021) model of the term structure of default-free bond yields, which we present...
View Details
Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Annual Review of Financial Economics (forthcoming). (Pre-published online April 19, 2024.)
- 27 May 2011
- Working Paper Summaries
An Empirical Decomposition of Risk and Liquidity in Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Government Bonds
Keywords:
by Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
- 22 Jul 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Reputation and Competition: Evidence from the Credit Rating Industry
- 2022
- Working Paper
The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the...
View Details
Keywords:
United States Treasury;
Monetary Policy;
Yield Curve;
Central Banking;
Interest Rates;
Valuation
Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Working Paper, January 2022.
- August 2021
- Article
Don't Take Their Word for It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds
By: Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen and Umit Gurun
We provide evidence that bond fund managers misclassify their holdings, and that these misclassifications have a real and significant impact on investor capital flows. In particular, many funds report more investment grade assets than are actually held in their...
View Details
Keywords:
Mutual Funds;
Economics;
Finance;
Measurement and Metrics;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Financial Services Industry
Chen, Huaizhi, Lauren Cohen, and Umit Gurun. "Don't Take Their Word for It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds." Journal of Finance 76, no. 4 (August 2021): 1699–1730. (Winner of the Best Paper Prize at the University of Cambridge Consortium on Asset Management, 2020; Winner of the Financial Management Association Best Paper Prize in Quantitative Investments, 2020.)
- Research Summary
Corporate Bond Pricing and Different Sources of Asset Return Volatility (with George Chacko and Jens Hilscher)
This paper presents a pricing model for defaultable bonds. Default is defined by a cash flow, not value, covenant. The cash flow (total distributions) yield is stochastic. We find that different sources of volatility, cash flow versus discount rate news, affect...
View Details
- 13 Jun 2012
- HBS Case
HBS Cases: A Startup Takes On the Credit Ratings Giants
For most of the 20th century, three bond ratings agencies—Moody's, Fitch, and Standard & Poor's—dominated the credit ratings industry, recently controlling 97 percent of...
View Details
- Working Paper Summaries