Predictability - Publications - Faculty & Research

24 Sep 2013
First Look

First Look: September 24

Monetary Economics Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm-Level Evidence By: Ivashina, Victoria, and Bo Becker Abstract—Theory predicts that there is a close link between bank credit supply and the evolution of the business cycle. Yet... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

10 Jan 2012
First Look

First Look: January 10

bonds varies predictably over time. We also find strong evidence that the spread between the nominal and the real bond risk premium, or the breakeven inflation risk premium, also varies over time. We argue that the time variation in real... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

03 May 2011
First Look

First Look: May 3

principles within each course module, and a synopsis of each case, along with the lessons the case is meant to convey. Purchase this note:http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/911069-PDF-ENG Predictive Biosciences Thomas Eisenmann,... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

07 Sep 2020
Research & Ideas

How to Help Small Businesses Survive COVID's Next Phase

strategies. “No one could have predicted how long this would go on.” Mills recommends that the US government replenish and restart the Paycheck Protection Program, but find additional ways to support the smallest, most vulnerable... View Details

Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Food & Beverage; Service

17 Jul 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 17, 2018

Amazon. Purchase this case:https://hbsp.harvard.edu/product/718481-PDF-ENG Harvard Business School Case 518-010 Lending Club: Predicting Default No abstract available. Purchase this case:https://hbsp.harvard.edu/product/518010-PDF-ENG... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

10 May 2017
Research & Ideas

Amazon Web Services Changed the Way VCs Fund Startups

Entrepreneurs Pitch Products or Ideas for Products? How to Predict if a New Business Idea is Any Good The Persistent Effect of Initial Success: Evidence from Venture Capital View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Banking; Financial Services; Information Technology

06 Aug 2013
First Look

First Look: August 6

behavior assume that unethical behavior triggers negative affect. In this paper, we challenge this assumption and demonstrate that unethical behavior can trigger positive affect, which we term a "cheater's high." Across six studies, we find that even though... View Details

Keywords: Anna Secino

13 Nov 2006
Research & Ideas

Science Business: What Happened to Biotech?

radical restructuring of the environment, as you suggest is necessary? A: It is starting to happen. I can't say who will win and who will lose. Firms that have some existing scale are better positioned to do the kind of integration I talk about, but no one can View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Biotechnology

03 Sep 2013
First Look

First Look: September 3

content to attract "eyeballs," and as a result, popular content may be excessively supplied. We empirically test this prediction by taking advantage of the launch of an ad-revenue-sharing program initiated by a major Chinese... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

24 Jul 2013
Op-Ed

Detroit Files for Bankruptcy: HBS Faculty Weigh In

Research Triangle in North Carolina think very hard about focus in order to create a virtuous cycle of complementary successful ventures. The results have been extraordinary. A generation ago, it would have seemed farfetched to predict... View Details

Keywords: by John Macomber, Robert C. Pozen, Eric D. Werker & Benjamin Kennedy; Auto

29 Jan 2008
First Look

First Look: January 29, 2008

increases with organizational size, smaller adopters have such disproportionate influence because they allow observers better to infer that adoption will be profitable for their own organization. We elaborate the theory by predicting that... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

26 Nov 2007
Research & Ideas

Best Practices of Global Innovators

of problems that cannot be predicted in advance must be resolved. Dealing with uncertainty requires different organizational choices in terms of team design, contract structure, and IP management. Consider, for example, a typical practice... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

06 Sep 2005
Research & Ideas

The Best Place for Retirement Funds

the 2004 SCF are released we may find that these programs have become pretty important for a lot of families. There are also tax-favored savings plans focused on medical rather than educational expenses. It's hard to predict what the... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen

May 2022
Supplement

Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside

By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Fares Khrais

Maestro pizza opened its first store in 2013 after its founder, Khalid Al Omran, recognized an opportunity in Saudi Arabia to offer high quality pizza at affordable prices. The business grew rapidly and under the radar at first, but soon enough caught the attention of... View Details

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May 20, 2016
Comment

World Health Organization Lacks Leadership to Combat Pandemics

By: John A. Quelch

When it comes to emergency preparedness for pandemics, the World Health Organization is falling short. It has not provided prompt and clear leadership to the world in combating either the Ebola or Zika viruses. Its leadership has been low energy, its representatives... View Details

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19 Jan 2021
In Practice

Leadership Advice for Biden: Restore a Sense of Calm

rules of the game? Companies like to know what the rules are and they like stability in those rules. I believe that businesses will welcome a higher level of certainty and predictability that I expect will come with the new... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

13 Nov 2007
Research & Ideas

Six Steps for Reinvigorating America

you can predict the dropout rate. Our high school dropout rate is much too high in the United States—a million children. I remember in the 1980s, the business community was incredibly concerned about K through 12 public education. A... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

06 Feb 2007
First Look

First Look: February 6, 2007

larger class of financial and managerial consultants who sought to refine business decision-making through the introduction of statistical data and scientific analysis. The failure of most forecasting agencies to predict the stock market... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

10 Apr 2018
First Look

First Look at New Research, April 10, 2018

emphasize the value of being prudent with money. Additional analysis supports our predicted indirect effect of religiosity on spending through frugality. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54362 2018 The New... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

30 Jul 2013
First Look

First Look: July 30

schools choose to display on their websites. First, the data strongly rejects patterns predicted by classic models of voluntary disclosure. In contrast with the traditional unraveling hypothesis, top schools are least likely to display... View Details

Keywords: Anna Secino

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First Look: September 24

First Look: January 10

First Look: May 3

How to Help Small Businesses Survive COVID's Next Phase

New Research and Ideas, July 17, 2018

Amazon Web Services Changed the Way VCs Fund Startups

First Look: August 6

Science Business: What Happened to Biotech?

First Look: September 3

Detroit Files for Bankruptcy: HBS Faculty Weigh In

First Look: January 29, 2008

Best Practices of Global Innovators

The Best Place for Retirement Funds

Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside

World Health Organization Lacks Leadership to Combat Pandemics

Leadership Advice for Biden: Restore a Sense of Calm

Six Steps for Reinvigorating America

First Look: February 6, 2007

First Look at New Research, April 10, 2018

First Look: July 30

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