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  • 02 Jan 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 3, 2018

model where firms choose which suppliers to integrate and whether to delegate decisions to integrated suppliers or keep them centralized. We test the predictions of this model using a novel dataset that combines measures of vertical... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Aug 2016
  • First Look

August 9, 2016

biosimilar drugs, we analyze how market features and public policies predict entry, market prices, and penetration of biosimilars. We find significant heterogeneity across countries and drug classes in all of these outcomes. While we... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 31 May 2016
  • First Look

May 31, 2016

employee’s desk is only 166 meters from the clinic. Base proximity does not predict vaccination probability. Conclusions and Relevance: Minor changes in the environment can have substantial effects on the probability of vaccination. If... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Sep 2009
  • First Look

First Look: September 22

Glaeser, William R. Kerr, and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto Publication:Journal of Urban Economics (forthcoming) Abstract Employment growth is strongly predicted by smaller average establishment size, both across cities and across industries... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 23 Jul 2024
  • In Practice

The New Rules of Trade with China: Navigating Tariffs, Turmoil, and Opportunities

the biggest risk now comes from Washington. It is never clear when the next salvo of export controls or restrictions will be imposed. China has become more predictable than the United States. “Multinational firms have long created risk... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Manufacturing; Retail; Fashion; Industrial Products; Consumer Products; Steel; Transportation; Telecommunications
  • 01 Dec 2011
  • News

Li & Fung's Global Footprint

minimum wages to go up 13.5 percent a year. That’s an 82 percent increase in wages over five years. Higher wages will cause China’s growth engine to transition from low-cost exports to domestic consumption. My prediction is that over the... View Details
Keywords: Roger Thompson; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Manufacturing; Wholesale Trade
  • 15 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 15

opportunities to cheat on tests are likely to engage in self-deception, inferring that their elevated performance is a sign of intelligence. This short-term psychological benefit of self-deception, however, can come with longer-term costs: when View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 31 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 31, 2009

strategic alliances could be optimal. We expect that, given institutional knowledge about a particular setting, our broad theoretical framework can be specialized to deliver testable predictions for that setting (as has occurred in some... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • May 2005
  • Exercise

Forecasting the Adoption of E-books

By: Elie Ofek
Gives students an opportunity to understand the challenges inherent in forecasting the diffusions of innovations. Provides data for forecasting the adoption of electronic books. Students are encouraged to use the Bass Model framework, while being cognizant of its... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Framework; Books; Analytics and Data Science; Product Launch; Internet and the Web; Technology Adoption
Related
  • Portrait Project

Arnaud Karsenti

desktop is up and running. Welcome to the life of a global entrepreneur. What are you going to do today? The best way to predict the future is to create it. When I look towards my future, I see a life of constant creation: the creation of... View Details
  • 27 Jul 2019
  • Op-Ed

Does Facebook's Business Model Threaten Our Elections?

platform. Advertisers used that data to create psychographic profiles of potential customers that went beyond mere demographics to give insights into what they like and value. Studies have found that with just 10 “likes” an algorithm can View Details
Keywords: by George Riedel
  • 28 Jun 2011
  • First Look

First Look: June 28

straightforward processing to update prices, while the other set requires more complicated analyses to incorporate the same piece of information into prices. We document substantial return predictability from the set of easy-to-analyze... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Jul 2006
  • First Look

First Look: July 5, 2006

predictive and prescriptive implications, this theory contributes to the general notion that pricing might affect as much as capture perceived value. Paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/06-055.pdf Capital Structure with Risky Foreign... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 May 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Genomics: Can We Start Making Money Now?

predict a new world where drug treatments are customized to an individual's genetic makeup, and gene-based therapy can root out cancer and other diseases before they take hold in the body. The new science will "revolutionize the way... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • January 2008
  • Background Note

Equity Options

By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of this simulation is to understand the reliance of option values on volatility. When an investor trades an option, they are essentially trading volatility. Therefore, much of the focus in this lesson is on forecasting volatility. Students are able to use two... View Details
Keywords: Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Stock Options; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Value
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  • December 2008
  • Article

Style Investing and Institutional Investors

By: Kenneth A. Froot and Melvyn Teo
This paper explores institutional investors' trades in stocks grouped by style and the relationship of these trades with equity market returns. It aggregates transactions drawn from a large universe of approximately $6 trillion of institutional funds. To analyze style... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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  • June 2005
  • Article

Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows

By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rate; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Asset Pricing; Financial Services Industry
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  • September 2004
  • Article

Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows

By: Kenneth A. Froot and J. Tjornhom Donohue
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
Related
  • 15 Sep 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Political Dysfunction Makes America Less Competitive

and 20 percent predict the situation won’t change. The Harvard researchers are hoping this report might help spur Washington to get its act together. “We think this is an American issue, not a Republican issue or a Democrat issue or a... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 09 Aug 2017
  • Blog Post

"A Balance Between Autonomy and Resources to Help Me Learn."

addition, Jon is responsible for two research projects, one that looks into emission-free hydrogen production through wind generation, and another that predicts corporate demand for renewable energy based on a variety of corporate goals... View Details
Keywords: Manufacturing