predictions - Publications - Faculty & Research

26 May 2009
Research & Ideas

Improving Market Research in a Recession

studies to check on shifts in price elasticities of demand and price-attribute tradeoffs can usefully improve the profitability of pricing decisions at a time when cash is king. Keep an eye on the new consumer. No one has a perfect record of View Details

Keywords: by John Quelch

10 Jul 2018
Blog Post

Embracing Entrepreneurship & the Asian American Community

children to create a more stable income. This often runs counter to our passion, interest, and growing appetite for risky careers, like startups. The challenge is balancing a more financially predictable path with one that is less certain... View Details

01 Sep 2004
News

Richard J. Stillman (MBA 1940)

he had already successfully invaded North Africa and liberated Sicily. As we stood before him, he said, “Gentlemen, look to your right, look to your left, and remember that one of you won’t be around at the end of the war.” That View Details

05 Sep 2012
First Look

First Look: September 5

Carliss Y. Baldwin Abstract Our paper tests a key prediction of property rights theory, specifically, that agents will respond to marginal incentives embedded in property rights when making non-contractible, revenue-enhancing investments... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

03 Mar 2008
First Look

First Look: March 4, 2008

the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after controlling for the term spread and the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

21 Jul 2009
First Look

First Look: July 21

9001 Quality Management System standard predicts changes in organizational outcomes such as profits. This is the first large-scale study to explore how employee outcomes such as employment, earnings, and health and safety change when... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

01 Jun 1997
News

Entertainment Moguls Ponder the Future at HBS Conference

with an audience of some 350 people. Biondi said that future success in the entertainment industry will depend on senior executives' ability to predict trends from new technology. He reminded participants that TV executives, for example,... View Details

Keywords: Paula Maute

01 Oct 1997
News

Terence P. Stewart

of Stewart and Stewart, a Washington-based law firm that represents both domestic and foreign clients on issues of trade and international law, Stewart understands that such disagreements are the predictable outgrowth of a global... View Details

Keywords: Garry Emmons

January 1999 (Revised June 2006)
Case

Advanced Technologies, Inc.

By: Thomas R. Piper

The CEO of a semiconductor equipment manufacturer is assessing the financial forecasts and financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Continued rapid growth will create substantial financing pressures, especially if profitability fails to recover and/or if... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Earnings Management; Financial Condition; Financial Reporting; Risk and Uncertainty; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Outcome or Result; Growth and Development; Crisis Management; Profit; Financial Strategy; Semiconductor Industry; Manufacturing Industry

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31 Jan 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017

whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

12 Feb 2013
First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

decades, and I identify remedies well-grounded in antitrust precedent. Paper: http://journaloflaw.us/0%20JoL/2-2/JoL2-2.pdf#page=197 The Future of Boards: Meeting the Governance Challenges of the 21st Century Authors:Lorsch, Jay W. Publication:European Financial Review... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

23 Feb 2009
Research & Ideas

Creative Entrepreneurship in a Downturn

Whatever the headlines predict these days, there may still be good news for entrepreneurs. Many successful products, services, and pivotal ideas have been launched during an economic lull, according to Bhaskar Chakravorti, a senior... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

Student-Profile

Do Yoon Kim

of this was theoretical work on the convergence of beliefs, wisdom of the crowds, and predicting collective action, but it was exciting theoretical work! This is what initially got me interested in networks of people, especially how... View Details

Web

Marketing AI Guidelines | About

Marketing AI Guidelines Context Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a significant impact on the marketing discipline in several areas including content creation, image generation/modification, chatbots, marketing automation, personalization, View Details

01 Mar 2008
News

India's Chidambaram Says Nation Is "Poor Rich"

poverty by the country’s growing economy, Palaniappan Chidambaram (MBA ’68), India’s finance minister, predicted in a speech at HBS in October. However, India remains a land of vexing contrasts and contradictions, with enormous inequities... View Details

Keywords: Administration of Economic Programs; Government

01 Feb 2016
Research & Ideas

CEOs and Coaches: How Important is Organizational 'Fit?'

misguided optimism. In truth, it is deceptively difficult to predict ex-ante the success of any union. We’re reminded of this as the Super Bowl approaches: when it comes to predicting the success of a... View Details

Keywords: by Boris Groysberg & Abhijit Naik; Sports

05 Jul 2017
What Do You Think?

Can Innovation Save Us From Ourselves?

tolerable level?” Ramji commented, “(I) think it is human vanity with some highly optimistic predictions ” Other comments took on an even darker tone. MichaelA wrote, “Homo Deus brings round the basis on which Humanism was first... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Technology

April 1998 (Revised November 1999)
Case

Hamilton Financial Investments: A Franchise Built on Trust

By: Robert L. Simons and Antonio Davila

Provides a vehicle for students to evaluate risk management in the fast-paced mutual funds industry. A new risk manager has been hired to install new management controls and procedures. A series of decisions will determine how much business and franchise risk the... View Details

Keywords: Risk Management; Management Teams; Managerial Roles; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Funds; Performance Evaluation; Corporate Strategy; Change Management; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry

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June 2010 (Revised July 2011)
Case

Classic Knitwear and Guardian: A Perfect Fit?

By: John A. Quelch and Patricia Girardi

Classic Knitwear manufactures and distributes casual apparel, either unbranded or under a private-label brand name. Partly because Classic has no brand recognition with consumers, gross margins are low. To improve margins, the company considers partnering via a... View Details

Keywords: Market Research; Forecasting; Consumer Marketing; New Product Marketing; Product Lines; Merchandising; Branding; Demand and Consumers; Partners and Partnerships; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Marketing; Brands and Branding; Product Development; Manufacturing Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry

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June 2012
Article

Consequence-Cause Matching: Looking to the Consequences of Events to Infer Their Causes

By: Robyn A. LeBoeuf and Michael I. Norton

We show that people non-normatively infer event causes from event consequences. For example, people inferred that a product failure (computer crash) had a large cause (widespread computer virus) if it had a large consequence (job loss), but that the identical failure... View Details

Keywords: Causal Inference; Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Failure